Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.9 – 1.1
Over 2.5
59%
Both score
58%
The model projects 1.92 goals for Lyon and 1.13 for Sparta Prague, giving 56% for the home win, 22% for the draw and 22% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1866 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
3
Lyon
0
Draws
1
Sparta Prague