Our pick Strong
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.7 – 1.2
Over 2.5
57%
Both score
58%
The model makes Anderlecht the most likely winners at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Lyon. Expected goals are 1.70 for Anderlecht and 1.25 for Lyon, which puts over 2.5 goals at 57%. These are probabilities, not guarantees, and Anderlecht still fail to win more than half the time.
0
Anderlecht
0
Draws
1
Lyon