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Angola vs Malawi prediction, Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Africa Cup of Nations QualifyingFull time

Angola

5-1

Sun, 6 Jul

Malawi

Model's readLuanda
1 57%X 25%2 18%

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

74.4%

xG

1.7 – 0.9

Over 2.5

49%

Both score

49%

Form

Full stats →
AngolaWWDDD
MalawiLDLLW

Match analysis

Model generated

Angola favoured at 57%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.73 goals for Angola and 0.89 for Malawi, giving 57% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 18% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 12%
  • Expected goals: 1.73 - 0.89
  • Clean sheet chance: Angola 41%, Malawi 18%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Angola v Malawi

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Angola56.6%
Draw24.9%
Malawi18.5%

Model rating

All ratings →
6.2

Angola

Above average

4.9

Malawi

Average

AngolaLast 10 gamesMalawi
1.40Points per game1.20
1.4Goals scored per game1.0
1.1Goals conceded per game1.0
50%Over 2.5 goals40%
60%Both teams scored40%
30%Clean sheets30%
30%Failed to score40%

Recent results

AngolaWWDDD
  • 6 OctHMalawi3-1
  • 9 JunHCentral African Republic3-0
  • 5 JunHMauritania1-1
  • 29 DecHEgypt0-0
  • 26 DecHZimbabwe1-1
  • 22 DecASouth Africa1-2
MalawiLDLLW
  • 6 OctAAngola1-3
  • 9 JunAEthiopia1-1
  • 6 JunAEthiopia0-1
  • 31 MarABotswana0-1
  • 18 NovALesotho1-0
  • 15 NovALesotho0-0

Head to head

Last 4 meetings

3

Angola

0

Draws

1

Malawi

  • 6 Oct 26Angola 3-1 Malawi
  • 14 Jan 10Angola 2-0 Malawi
  • 6 Jul 03Angola 5-1 Malawi
  • 12 Oct 02Malawi 1-0 Angola
Every meeting between these two →