Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.5
45%
Both score
52%
The model makes Lesotho narrow favourites at 38%, against 33% for Malawi and 29% for a draw. Malawi are rated higher overall, so the edge is small. Over 2.5 goals sits at 45%, which leaves little value in the goals markets.
Lesotho
Average
Malawi
Average
0
Lesotho
5
Draws
1
Malawi