Our pick
Away Win
xG
1.0 – 1.9
Over 2.5
56%
Both score
54%
The model makes Nigeria the pick at 59%, far above the 26% norm for away wins in this competition. Expected goals are 1.94 for Nigeria and 0.98 for Lesotho. Lesotho have failed to score in 3 of their last 6.
Lesotho
Average
Nigeria
Above average
0
Lesotho
1
Draws
5
Nigeria