Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.3 – 1.3
Over 2.5
49%
Both score
55%
The model's strongest selection is Away or Draw (X2) at 65%, against a 52% norm for this competition. That gap over the norm matters more than the raw figure. Expected goals are close, at 1.30 for Lesotho and 1.33 for Kenya, so the match looks finely balanced.
Lesotho
Average
Kenya
Above average
1
Lesotho
4
Draws
2
Kenya