Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.2 – 0.9
Over 2.5
61%
Both score
55%
The model makes Senegal favourites at 66%, with 21% for a draw and 14% for Kenya. That is well above the 48% home-win norm in this competition, which is why it is the strongest read. Expected goals are 2.20 for Senegal and 0.93 for Kenya.
Senegal
Above average
Kenya
Above average
5
Senegal
1
Draws
0
Kenya