Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.0 – 0.8
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
47%
The model makes Senegal the strongest pick, at 65% to win. The draw is 22% and Iraq 13%. That 65% sits well above the 48% norm for this competition, and it is the clearest read here. Still, a 13% chance for Iraq is real.
Senegal
Above average
Iraq
Average
1
Senegal
0
Draws
0
Iraq