Our pick
Over 2.5 Goals
xG
2.7 – 0.6
Over 2.5
64%
Both score
41%
Spain are favourites at 82% to win, with the model expecting 2.73 goals to Iraq's 0.57. The strongest read is over 2.5 goals at 64%, well above the 48% norm in this competition. Treat it as a lean, not a promise.
Spain
Above average
Iraq
Average
0
Spain
1
Draws
0
Iraq