Tanzania vs Uganda prediction, Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
72.7%
xG
1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.5
47%
Both score
52%
Form
Full stats →
TanzaniaWLLDD
UgandaDWLDLMatch analysis
Model generatedTanzania favoured at 44%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.43 goals for Tanzania and 1.10 for Uganda, giving 44% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 28% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.43 - 1.10
- Clean sheet chance: Tanzania 33%, Uganda 24%
Match result
1X2Tanzania43.8%
Draw27.9%
Uganda28.4%
Model rating
All ratings →5.4
Tanzania
Average
5.5
Uganda
Above average
TanzaniaLast 10 gamesUganda0.50Points per game1.40
1.2Goals scored per game1.2
1.4Goals conceded per game1.5
30%Over 2.5 goals50%
40%Both teams scored60%
10%Clean sheets30%
50%Failed to score10%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings5
Tanzania
2
Draws
3
Uganda
- 27 Dec 25Uganda 1-1 Tanzania
- 22 Jul 25Tanzania 1-0 Uganda
- 28 Mar 23Tanzania 0-1 Uganda
- 24 Mar 23Uganda 0-1 Tanzania
- 24 Sept 22Tanzania 1-0 Uganda