Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.4 – 1.0
Over 2.5
43%
Both score
49%
The model projects 1.35 goals for Slovenia and 1.03 for Scotland, giving 43% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 27% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Slovenia
Above average
Scotland
Average
1
Slovenia
4
Draws
2
Scotland