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Egypt vs Ethiopia prediction, International Friendlies

International FriendliesFull time

Egypt

4-1

Thu, 8 Aug

Ethiopia

Model's readAlexandria
1 59%X 25%2 16%

Our pick

Under 3.5 Goals

75.5%

xG

1.7 – 0.8

Over 2.5

46%

Both score

46%

Form

Full stats →
EgyptLLDDW
EthiopiaDWLWL

Match analysis

Model generated

Egypt favoured at 59%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.72 goals for Egypt and 0.79 for Ethiopia, giving 59% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 16% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 13%
  • Expected goals: 1.72 - 0.79
  • Clean sheet chance: Egypt 45%, Ethiopia 18%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Egypt v Ethiopia

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Egypt58.6%
Draw25.3%
Ethiopia16.1%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.7

Egypt

Above average

5.7

Ethiopia

Above average

EgyptLast 10 gamesEthiopia
1.30Points per game1.60
1.4Goals scored per game1.4
1.0Goals conceded per game1.3
40%Over 2.5 goals40%
60%Both teams scored50%
30%Clean sheets20%
20%Failed to score30%

Recent results

EgyptLLDDW
  • 4 OctHSouth Africa0-1
  • 7 JulAArgentina2-3
  • 3 JulAAustralia1-1
  • 26 JunHIran1-1
  • 21 JunANew Zealand3-1
  • 15 JunABelgium1-1
EthiopiaDWLWL
  • 9 JunHMalawi1-1
  • 6 JunHMalawi1-0
  • 12 OctABurkina Faso1-3
  • 8 OctHGuinea-Bissau1-0
  • 9 SeptASierra Leone0-2
  • 5 SeptAEgypt0-2

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

8

Egypt

1

Draws

1

Ethiopia

  • 5 Sept 25Egypt 2-0 Ethiopia
  • 21 Mar 25Ethiopia 0-2 Egypt
  • 8 Sept 23Egypt 1-0 Ethiopia
  • 9 Jun 22Ethiopia 2-0 Egypt
  • 8 Aug 02Egypt 4-1 Ethiopia
Every meeting between these two →