Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.7 – 0.8
Over 2.5
46%
Both score
46%
The model projects 1.72 goals for Egypt and 0.79 for Ethiopia, giving 59% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 16% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Egypt
Above average
Ethiopia
Above average
8
Egypt
1
Draws
1
Ethiopia