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Uganda vs Nigeria prediction, Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Africa Cup of Nations QualifyingFull time

Uganda

2-1

Sat, 2 Jun

Nigeria

Model's readKampala
1 32%X 26%2 42%

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

78.7%

xG

1.3 – 1.5

Over 2.5

55%

Both score

58%

Form

Full stats →
UgandaDWLDL
NigeriaDLDWW

Match analysis

Model generated

Nigeria favoured at 42%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.32 goals for Uganda and 1.54 for Nigeria, giving 32% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 42% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
  • Expected goals: 1.32 - 1.54
  • Clean sheet chance: Uganda 21%, Nigeria 27%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Uganda v Nigeria

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Uganda32.0%
Draw26.2%
Nigeria41.8%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.5

Uganda

Above average

5.9

Nigeria

Above average

UgandaLast 10 gamesNigeria
1.40Points per game1.50
1.2Goals scored per game1.5
1.5Goals conceded per game1.0
50%Over 2.5 goals60%
60%Both teams scored50%
30%Clean sheets50%
10%Failed to score30%

Recent results

UgandaDWLDL
  • 5 OctHDR Congo1-1
  • 2 OctADR Congo2-0
  • 30 DecHNigeria1-3
  • 27 DecHTanzania1-1
  • 23 DecATunisia1-3
  • 18 NovAMorocco0-4
NigeriaDLDWW
  • 6 OctARussia3-3
  • 10 JunAPortugal1-2
  • 3 JunAPoland2-2
  • 30 MayAJamaica3-0
  • 26 MayHZimbabwe2-0
  • 31 MarAJordan2-2

Head to head

Last 8 meetings

2

Uganda

2

Draws

4

Nigeria

  • 30 Dec 25Uganda 1-3 Nigeria
  • 20 Nov 18Nigeria 0-0 Uganda
  • 25 Mar 15Nigeria 0-1 Uganda
  • 2 Jun 07Uganda 2-1 Nigeria
  • 24 Mar 07Nigeria 1-0 Uganda
Every meeting between these two →