Uganda vs Tanzania prediction, Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
73.0%
xG
1.5 – 1.1
Over 2.5
47%
Both score
51%
Form
Full stats →
UgandaDWLDL
TanzaniaWLLDDMatch analysis
Model generatedUganda favoured at 47%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.50 goals for Uganda and 1.05 for Tanzania, giving 47% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 26% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.50 - 1.05
- Clean sheet chance: Uganda 35%, Tanzania 22%
Match result
1X2Uganda46.8%
Draw27.4%
Tanzania25.8%
Model rating
All ratings →5.5
Uganda
Above average
5.4
Tanzania
Average
UgandaLast 10 gamesTanzania1.40Points per game0.50
1.2Goals scored per game1.2
1.5Goals conceded per game1.4
50%Over 2.5 goals30%
60%Both teams scored40%
30%Clean sheets10%
10%Failed to score50%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings3
Uganda
2
Draws
5
Tanzania
- 27 Dec 25Uganda 1-1 Tanzania
- 22 Jul 25Tanzania 1-0 Uganda
- 28 Mar 23Tanzania 0-1 Uganda
- 24 Mar 23Uganda 0-1 Tanzania
- 24 Sept 22Tanzania 1-0 Uganda