Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.0 – 1.0
Over 2.5
58%
Both score
55%
The model projects 2.05 goals for Norway and 0.97 for Wales, giving 61% for the home win, 22% for the draw and 16% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Norway
Above average
Wales
Average
2
Norway
2
Draws
3
Wales