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Nigeria vs Uganda prediction, Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Africa Cup of Nations QualifyingFull time

Nigeria

1-0

Sat, 24 Mar

Uganda

Model's readAbeokuta
1 62%X 22%2 16%

Our pick ★ Strong

Home or Away (12)

78.4%

xG

2.1 – 1.0

Over 2.5

58%

Both score

54%

Form

Full stats →
NigeriaDLDWW
UgandaDWLDL

Match analysis

Model generated

Nigeria favoured at 62%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 2.07 goals for Nigeria and 0.96 for Uganda, giving 62% for the home win, 22% for the draw and 16% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 2-0 at 10%
  • Expected goals: 2.07 - 0.96
  • Clean sheet chance: Nigeria 38%, Uganda 13%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Nigeria v Uganda

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Nigeria62.4%
Draw21.6%
Uganda16.1%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.9

Nigeria

Above average

5.5

Uganda

Above average

NigeriaLast 10 gamesUganda
1.50Points per game1.40
1.5Goals scored per game1.2
1.0Goals conceded per game1.5
60%Over 2.5 goals50%
50%Both teams scored60%
50%Clean sheets30%
30%Failed to score10%

Recent results

NigeriaDLDWW
  • 6 OctARussia3-3
  • 10 JunAPortugal1-2
  • 3 JunAPoland2-2
  • 30 MayAJamaica3-0
  • 26 MayHZimbabwe2-0
  • 31 MarAJordan2-2
UgandaDWLDL
  • 5 OctHDR Congo1-1
  • 2 OctADR Congo2-0
  • 30 DecHNigeria1-3
  • 27 DecHTanzania1-1
  • 23 DecATunisia1-3
  • 18 NovAMorocco0-4

Head to head

Last 8 meetings

4

Nigeria

2

Draws

2

Uganda

  • 30 Dec 25Uganda 1-3 Nigeria
  • 20 Nov 18Nigeria 0-0 Uganda
  • 25 Mar 15Nigeria 0-1 Uganda
  • 2 Jun 07Uganda 2-1 Nigeria
  • 24 Mar 07Nigeria 1-0 Uganda
Every meeting between these two →