Aruba vs St Lucia prediction, World Cup Qualifying CONCACAF
Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
77.6%
xG
2.1 – 1.3
Over 2.5
66%
Both score
65%
Form
Full stats →
ArubaLWWLDSt LuciaLWLDL
Match analysis
Model generatedAruba favoured at 55%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 2.11 goals for Aruba and 1.29 for St Lucia, giving 55% for the home win, 22% for the draw and 22% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 3413 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 10%
- Expected goals: 2.11 - 1.29
- Clean sheet chance: Aruba 27%, St Lucia 12%
Match result
1X2Aruba55.3%
Draw22.3%
St Lucia22.4%
Model rating
All ratings →5.5
Aruba
Above average
5.0
St Lucia
Average
ArubaLast 10 gamesSt Lucia1.10Points per game1.10
1.3Goals scored per game1.1
2.6Goals conceded per game2.2
70%Over 2.5 goals70%
50%Both teams scored70%
0%Clean sheets10%
50%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 3 meetings1
Aruba
1
Draws
1
St Lucia
- 11 Jun 24St Lucia 2-2 Aruba
- 12 Jul 11St Lucia 4-2 Aruba
- 8 Jul 11Aruba 4-2 St Lucia