Our pick
Home or Away (12)
xG
1.6 – 1.4
Over 2.5
58%
Both score
61%
The model makes Aruba the most likely winner at 42%, with Haiti at 33% and a draw at 26%. Expected goals are 1.62 for Aruba and 1.41 for Haiti, and over 2.5 goals sits at 58%. The edge is modest, so treat this as a lean, not a lock.
Aruba
Above average
Haiti
Average
0
Aruba
0
Draws
1
Haiti