Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.6 – 1.1
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
54%
The model makes Haiti the most likely winner at 48%, with a draw at 27% and Peru at 25%. Expected goals are 1.59 for Haiti and 1.08 for Peru. That is a narrow edge, not a lock, so treat it as a lean rather than a certainty.
Haiti
Average
Peru
Average
0
Haiti
1
Draws
3
Peru