Our pick
Home Win
xG
1.9 – 0.8
Over 2.5
51%
Both score
49%
The model favours Switzerland at home, with a 62% win chance against a 46% competition norm. Expected goals are 1.90 for Switzerland and 0.83 for Slovenia. Switzerland's defence ranks 7th best, the key mismatch. Nothing here is guaranteed.
Switzerland
Above average
Slovenia
Above average
7
Switzerland
1
Draws
2
Slovenia