USA vs Canada prediction, International Friendlies
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
78.7%
xG
1.6 – 1.2
Over 2.5
54%
Both score
57%
Form
Full stats →
USAWWWWL
CanadaLWWLWMatch analysis
EnhancedOver 1.5 goals is the strongest read here
The model's strongest read is Over 1.5 Goals at 79%, against a 72% norm in this competition, so the gap is what stands out. USA are the slight favourite at 47% to win, with the draw at 26% and Canada at 27%. Treat these as model probabilities, not guarantees.
Match result
1X2USA46.6%
Draw26.2%
Canada27.2%
Model rating
All ratings →6.2
USA
Above average
5.9
Canada
Above average
USALast 10 gamesCanada2.10Points per game1.40
2.5Goals scored per game1.4
1.4Goals conceded per game1.0
70%Over 2.5 goals40%
60%Both teams scored40%
40%Clean sheets40%
0%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings4
USA
4
Draws
2
Canada
- 7 Oct 26USA 1-0 Canada
- 7 Sept 24USA 1-2 Canada
- 9 Jul 23USA 2-2 Canada
- 30 Jan 22Canada 2-0 USA
- 5 Sept 21USA 1-1 Canada