USA vs Mexico prediction, International Friendlies
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
72.3%
xG
1.7 – 1.3
Over 2.5
58%
Both score
60%
Form
Full stats →
USAWWWWL
MexicoLLDDLMatch analysis
EnhancedUSA favoured at 47%, with goals likely
The model gives USA a 47% chance to win, Mexico 28%, and a draw 25%. It expects 3.00 total goals, putting over 2.5 at 58%. Treat these as model probabilities, not a guaranteed result.
Match result
1X2USA46.8%
Draw25.4%
Mexico27.7%
Model rating
All ratings →6.2
USA
Above average
5.3
Mexico
Average
USALast 10 gamesMexico2.10Points per game1.70
2.5Goals scored per game1.5
1.4Goals conceded per game1.0
70%Over 2.5 goals40%
60%Both teams scored30%
40%Clean sheets50%
0%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings3
USA
2
Draws
5
Mexico
- 4 Oct 26USA 3-0 Mexico
- 6 Jul 25USA 1-2 Mexico
- 15 Oct 24Mexico 2-0 USA
- 19 Apr 23USA 1-1 Mexico
- 24 Mar 22Mexico 0-0 USA