Our pick Strong
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.2 – 1.1
Over 2.5
40%
Both score
48%
The model's strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals at 80%, against a 72% norm for this competition. It expects 2.30 goals in total, from Mexico 1.22 and Colombia 1.08. The gap from the norm matters more than the raw percentage.
Mexico
Average
Colombia
Above average
1
Mexico
2
Draws
7
Colombia