Our pick Strong
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.0 – 1.6
Over 2.5
47%
Both score
50%
The model's strongest read is England to win or draw at 79%. That is well above the 52% norm for this competition, so the gap matters more than the raw figure. England's attack ranks 2nd against Mexico's 201st-weakest defence. The match is at a neutral venue, so no home advantage is applied.
Mexico
Average
England
Above average
0
Mexico
0
Draws
5
England