Sierra Leone vs Guinea-Bissau prediction, Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Africa Cup of Nations QualifyingFull time
Sierra Leone
2-2
Guinea-Bissau
Model's readConakry
1 50%X 27%2 23%
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
77.1%
xG
1.5 – 1.0
Over 2.5
46%
Both score
49%
Form
Full stats →
Sierra LeoneLWDWL
Guinea-BissauDLLLWMatch analysis
Model generatedSierra Leone favoured at 50%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.55 goals for Sierra Leone and 0.96 for Guinea-Bissau, giving 50% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 23% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.55 - 0.96
- Clean sheet chance: Sierra Leone 38%, Guinea-Bissau 21%
Match result
1X2Sierra Leone50.1%
Draw27.0%
Guinea-Bissau22.9%
Model rating
All ratings →5.2
Sierra Leone
Average
5.0
Guinea-Bissau
Average
Sierra LeoneLast 10 gamesGuinea-Bissau1.40Points per game0.80
1.1Goals scored per game0.6
1.1Goals conceded per game1.4
30%Over 2.5 goals20%
50%Both teams scored30%
20%Clean sheets20%
30%Failed to score50%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 8 meetings4
Sierra Leone
3
Draws
1
Guinea-Bissau
- 4 Sept 25Guinea-Bissau 1-1 Sierra Leone
- 20 Mar 25Sierra Leone 3-1 Guinea-Bissau
- 11 Sept 23Guinea-Bissau 2-1 Sierra Leone
- 13 Jun 22Sierra Leone 2-2 Guinea-Bissau
- 17 Nov 07Guinea-Bissau 0-0 Sierra Leone