Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.5 – 1.2
Over 2.5
49%
Both score
54%
Liberia are the model's narrow pick at 44% to win, against 29% for Sierra Leone and 28% for a draw. Expected goals are 1.48 for Liberia and 1.15 for Sierra Leone, so the margin is small and no outcome is near certain.
Liberia
Average
Sierra Leone
Average
5
Liberia
1
Draws
4
Sierra Leone