Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.4 – 1.7
Over 2.5
60%
Both score
62%
The model projects 1.35 goals for Gabon and 1.75 for Nigeria, giving 29% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 46% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Gabon
Average
Nigeria
Above average
0
Gabon
1
Draws
4
Nigeria