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Sparta Prague vs Lyon prediction, UEFA Europa League

UEFA Europa League · Group AFull time

Sparta Prague

3-4

Thu, 21 Oct

Lyon

Model's read
1 43%X 24%2 33%

Our pick ★ Strong

Over 1.5 Goals

79.6%

xG

1.6 – 1.4

Over 2.5

57%

Both score

59%

Form

Full stats →
Sparta PragueWLWLL
LyonLWWDW

Match analysis

Model generated

Sparta Prague favoured at 43%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.60 goals for Sparta Prague and 1.37 for Lyon, giving 43% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 33% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1866 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
  • Expected goals: 1.60 - 1.37
  • Clean sheet chance: Sparta Prague 25%, Lyon 20%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Sparta Prague v Lyon

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Sparta Prague43.1%
Draw24.0%
Lyon32.9%
Sparta PragueLast 10 gamesLyon
1.60Points per game1.80
1.3Goals scored per game1.8
1.3Goals conceded per game0.8
70%Over 2.5 goals60%
40%Both teams scored60%
30%Clean sheets40%
40%Failed to score10%

Recent results

Sparta PragueWLWLL
  • 16 SeptAArarat-Armenia4-1
  • 11 AugALyon0-3
  • 4 AugHLyon2-1
  • 19 MarHAZ Alkmaar0-4
  • 12 MarAAZ Alkmaar1-2
  • 18 DecHAberdeen3-0
LyonLWWDW
  • 9 OctALens1-2
  • 19 SeptHRennes4-0
  • 16 SeptAAnderlecht2-1
  • 12 SeptAParis FC0-0
  • 4 SeptHAuxerre3-1
  • 29 AugHLe Havre1-1

Head to head

Last 4 meetings

1

Sparta Prague

0

Draws

3

Lyon

  • 11 Aug 26Lyon 3-0 Sparta Prague
  • 4 Aug 26Sparta Prague 2-1 Lyon
  • 4 Nov 21Lyon 3-0 Sparta Prague
  • 21 Oct 21Sparta Prague 3-4 Lyon
Every meeting between these two →