Our pick Strong
Away Win
xG
0.6 – 2.6
Over 2.5
63%
Both score
44%
The model makes Argentina clear favourites at 79%, well above the 25% norm for away wins in this competition. Expected goals are 2.58 for Argentina and 0.64 for Bolivia. Bolivia's attack runs into Argentina's defence, which is the main reason.
Bolivia
Average
Argentina
Strong
1
Bolivia
0
Draws
9
Argentina