USA vs Canada prediction, CONCACAF Gold Cup
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
75.8%
xG
1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.5
46%
Both score
52%
Form
Full stats →
USAWWWWL
CanadaLWWLWMatch analysis
EnhancedUnder 3.5 goals is the model's strongest read
The model's strongest read is Under 3.5 goals at 76%, against a 69% norm for this competition. That gap, rather than the raw percentage, is what sets it apart. USA are a small favourite at 38% to Canada's 33%, but the model projects only 2.50 total goals across both sides.
Match result
1X2USA37.8%
Draw29.0%
Canada33.1%
Model rating
All ratings →6.2
USA
Above average
5.9
Canada
Above average
USALast 10 gamesCanada2.10Points per game1.40
2.5Goals scored per game1.4
1.4Goals conceded per game1.0
70%Over 2.5 goals40%
60%Both teams scored40%
40%Clean sheets40%
0%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings4
USA
4
Draws
2
Canada
- 7 Oct 26USA 1-0 Canada
- 7 Sept 24USA 1-2 Canada
- 9 Jul 23USA 2-2 Canada
- 30 Jan 22Canada 2-0 USA
- 5 Sept 21USA 1-1 Canada