Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.3 – 1.3
Over 2.5
49%
Both score
54%
The model projects 1.32 goals for China and 1.30 for Tajikistan, giving 36% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 35% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
China
Average
Tajikistan
Average
2
China
0
Draws
1
Tajikistan