
Azerbaijan
1-0

Tajikistan
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.5 – 1.1
Over 2.5
46%
Both score
51%
The model makes Azerbaijan the likely winner at 45%, with a 28% draw and 26% away win. Expected goals are 1.46 for Azerbaijan and 1.06 for Tajikistan, which leaves over 2.5 goals (46%) and both teams to score (51%) close to even. Azerbaijan are the favourite, but this is far from a sure thing.
Azerbaijan
Average
Tajikistan
Average
3
Azerbaijan
0
Draws
0
Tajikistan