Azerbaijan vs Lithuania prediction, UEFA Nations League
UEFA Nations League · Round 4Full time
Azerbaijan
1-0
Lithuania
Model's readBaku Olympic Stadium
1 38%X 30%2 32%
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
79.0%
xG
1.2 – 1.1
Over 2.5
42%
Both score
49%
Form
Full stats →
AzerbaijanWDDWW
LithuaniaLWDWLMatch analysis
EnhancedUnder 3.5 goals is the strongest read here
The model's strongest selection is Under 3.5 Goals at 79%, against a 71% norm for this competition. That gap is what makes it the main read. On the result, Azerbaijan have a slight edge at 38% to Lithuania's 32%, with a draw at 30%, so this is close.
Match result
1X2Azerbaijan37.7%
Draw30.4%
Lithuania31.9%
Model rating
All ratings →4.9
Azerbaijan
Average
4.8
Lithuania
Average
AzerbaijanLast 10 gamesLithuania1.50Points per game1.10
1.3Goals scored per game0.9
1.1Goals conceded per game1.2
30%Over 2.5 goals30%
50%Both teams scored20%
30%Clean sheets40%
30%Failed to score50%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 5 meetings2
Azerbaijan
2
Draws
1
Lithuania
- 4 Oct 26Azerbaijan 1-0 Lithuania
- 27 Sept 26Lithuania 1-1 Azerbaijan
- 25 Mar 19Azerbaijan 0-0 Lithuania
- 26 Mar 08Lithuania 1-0 Azerbaijan
- 26 Jun 98Azerbaijan 2-1 Lithuania