Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.3 – 1.0
Over 2.5
40%
Both score
47%
The model makes Lithuania the most likely winner at 42%, with a draw at 30% and Georgia at 28%. That is a narrow edge, not a strong one. Expected goals are 1.28 for Lithuania and 1.01 for Georgia, so under 2.5 goals at 60% looks the steadier side.
Lithuania
Average
Georgia
Above average
3
Lithuania
1
Draws
5
Georgia