Ethiopia vs Egypt prediction, Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
73.8%
xG
1.0 – 1.4
Over 2.5
42%
Both score
47%
Form
Full stats →
EthiopiaDWLWL
EgyptLLDDWMatch analysis
Model generatedEgypt favoured at 45%, in a middling game
The model projects 0.98 goals for Ethiopia and 1.37 for Egypt, giving 26% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 45% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 0.98 - 1.37
- Clean sheet chance: Ethiopia 26%, Egypt 38%
Match result
1X2Ethiopia26.2%
Draw28.9%
Egypt44.9%
Model rating
All ratings →5.7
Ethiopia
Above average
5.7
Egypt
Above average
EthiopiaLast 10 gamesEgypt1.60Points per game1.30
1.4Goals scored per game1.4
1.3Goals conceded per game1.0
40%Over 2.5 goals40%
50%Both teams scored60%
20%Clean sheets30%
30%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings1
Ethiopia
1
Draws
8
Egypt
- 5 Sept 25Egypt 2-0 Ethiopia
- 21 Mar 25Ethiopia 0-2 Egypt
- 8 Sept 23Egypt 1-0 Ethiopia
- 9 Jun 22Ethiopia 2-0 Egypt
- 8 Aug 02Egypt 4-1 Ethiopia