Guinea-Bissau vs Sierra Leone prediction, Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Africa Cup of Nations QualifyingFull time
Guinea-Bissau
2-1
Sierra Leone
Model's readBissau
1 40%X 29%2 31%
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
76.6%
xG
1.3 – 1.1
Over 2.5
45%
Both score
51%
Form
Full stats →
Guinea-BissauDLLLW
Sierra LeoneLWDWLMatch analysis
Model generatedGuinea-Bissau favoured at 40%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.32 goals for Guinea-Bissau and 1.14 for Sierra Leone, giving 40% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 31% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.32 - 1.14
- Clean sheet chance: Guinea-Bissau 32%, Sierra Leone 27%
Match result
1X2Guinea-Bissau39.9%
Draw28.7%
Sierra Leone31.5%
Model rating
All ratings →5.0
Guinea-Bissau
Average
5.2
Sierra Leone
Average
Guinea-BissauLast 10 gamesSierra Leone0.80Points per game1.40
0.6Goals scored per game1.1
1.4Goals conceded per game1.1
20%Over 2.5 goals30%
30%Both teams scored50%
20%Clean sheets20%
50%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 8 meetings1
Guinea-Bissau
3
Draws
4
Sierra Leone
- 4 Sept 25Guinea-Bissau 1-1 Sierra Leone
- 20 Mar 25Sierra Leone 3-1 Guinea-Bissau
- 11 Sept 23Guinea-Bissau 2-1 Sierra Leone
- 13 Jun 22Sierra Leone 2-2 Guinea-Bissau
- 17 Nov 07Guinea-Bissau 0-0 Sierra Leone