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Tajikistan vs Afghanistan prediction, International Friendlies

International FriendliesFull time

Tajikistan

1-0

Wed, 17 Nov

Afghanistan

Model's readDushanbe
1 49%X 27%2 24%

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

76.1%

xG

1.6 – 1.0

Over 2.5

48%

Both score

52%

Form

Full stats →
TajikistanWLLDW
AfghanistanLLWLL

Match analysis

Model generated

Tajikistan favoured at 49%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.57 goals for Tajikistan and 1.03 for Afghanistan, giving 49% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 24% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
  • Expected goals: 1.57 - 1.03
  • Clean sheet chance: Tajikistan 36%, Afghanistan 21%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Tajikistan v Afghanistan

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Tajikistan49.0%
Draw27.1%
Afghanistan23.9%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.4

Tajikistan

Average

4.8

Afghanistan

Average

TajikistanLast 10 gamesAfghanistan
1.70Points per game0.50
1.6Goals scored per game0.4
1.4Goals conceded per game1.6
60%Over 2.5 goals20%
50%Both teams scored30%
30%Clean sheets20%
30%Failed to score60%

Recent results

TajikistanWLLDW
  • 6 OctAChina1-0
  • 28 SeptHPalestine2-4
  • 23 SeptAAzerbaijan0-1
  • 9 JunHIndia1-1
  • 5 JunHIndia3-1
  • 5 JunACambodia2-1
AfghanistanLLWLL
  • 10 JunAPakistan0-2
  • 7 JunHPakistan0-2
  • 1 JunAMaldives1-0
  • 21 MarAThailand0-2
  • 19 NovATajikistan1-3
  • 16 NovANepal0-2

Head to head

Last 6 meetings

5

Tajikistan

1

Draws

0

Afghanistan

  • 19 Nov 24Tajikistan 3-1 Afghanistan
  • 6 Jun 19Tajikistan 1-1 Afghanistan
  • 13 Nov 16Tajikistan 1-0 Afghanistan
  • 4 Jun 13Tajikistan 3-2 Afghanistan
  • 17 Nov 10Tajikistan 1-0 Afghanistan
Every meeting between these two →