Algeria vs Equatorial Guinea prediction, Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Our pick
Home Win
67.1%
xG
2.0 – 0.7
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
46%
Form
Full stats →
AlgeriaWLDWL
Equatorial GuineaLDWWLMatch analysis
Model generatedAlgeria favoured at 67%, in a middling game
The model projects 2.03 goals for Algeria and 0.74 for Equatorial Guinea, giving 67% for the home win, 21% for the draw and 12% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 2-0 at 13%
- Expected goals: 2.03 - 0.74
- Clean sheet chance: Algeria 48%, Equatorial Guinea 13%
Match result
1X2Algeria67.1%
Draw20.9%
Equatorial Guinea12.0%
Model rating
All ratings →6.3
Algeria
Above average
5.5
Equatorial Guinea
Above average
AlgeriaLast 10 gamesEquatorial Guinea1.70Points per game1.10
1.9Goals scored per game0.7
1.2Goals conceded per game1.1
60%Over 2.5 goals20%
30%Both teams scored40%
40%Clean sheets30%
40%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 4 meetings2
Algeria
1
Draws
1
Equatorial Guinea
- 31 Dec 25Equatorial Guinea 1-3 Algeria
- 14 Nov 24Equatorial Guinea 0-0 Algeria
- 5 Sept 24Algeria 2-0 Equatorial Guinea
- 16 Jan 22Algeria 0-1 Equatorial Guinea