Our pick
Away Win
xG
0.8 – 1.6
Over 2.5
42%
Both score
43%
The model gives Algeria a 56% chance to win, well above the 26% norm for this competition, which makes it the strongest read. Expected goals are 1.57 for Algeria and 0.78 for Equatorial Guinea, at a neutral venue with no home advantage. A model probability is not a guarantee.
Equatorial Guinea
Above average
Algeria
Above average
1
Equatorial Guinea
1
Draws
2
Algeria