Sierra Leone vs Burkina Faso prediction, Africa Cup of Nations
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
69.6%
xG
1.2 – 1.4
Over 2.5
47%
Both score
53%
Form
Full stats →
Sierra LeoneLWDWL
Burkina FasoLDLDWMatch analysis
Model generatedBurkina Faso favoured at 42%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.16 goals for Sierra Leone and 1.40 for Burkina Faso, giving 30% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 42% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.16 - 1.40
- Clean sheet chance: Sierra Leone 25%, Burkina Faso 31%
Match result
1X2Sierra Leone30.4%
Draw27.9%
Burkina Faso41.7%
Model rating
All ratings →5.2
Sierra Leone
Average
5.4
Burkina Faso
Average
Sierra LeoneLast 10 gamesBurkina Faso1.40Points per game1.40
1.1Goals scored per game1.5
1.1Goals conceded per game1.8
30%Over 2.5 goals70%
50%Both teams scored30%
20%Clean sheets30%
30%Failed to score40%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 3 meetings1
Sierra Leone
1
Draws
1
Burkina Faso
- 8 Oct 25Sierra Leone 0-1 Burkina Faso
- 10 Jun 24Burkina Faso 2-2 Sierra Leone
- 15 Jan 96Sierra Leone 2-1 Burkina Faso