Our pick Strong
Home or Away (12)
xG
2.0 – 1.0
Over 2.5
56%
Both score
55%
The model projects 1.96 goals for Nigeria and 0.99 for Uganda, giving 59% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 18% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Nigeria
Above average
Uganda
Above average
4
Nigeria
2
Draws
2
Uganda