Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.1 – 0.8
Over 2.5
55%
Both score
49%
The model projects 2.11 goals for Senegal and 0.79 for Sudan, giving 67% for the home win, 21% for the draw and 12% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Senegal
Above average
Sudan
Average
5
Senegal
1
Draws
0
Sudan