Canada vs USA prediction, International Friendlies
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
78.5%
xG
1.6 – 1.3
Over 2.5
54%
Both score
58%
Form
Full stats →
CanadaLWWLW
USAWWWWLMatch analysis
EnhancedOver 1.5 goals is the model's strongest read at 78%
The model's strongest read is Over 1.5 Goals at 78%, against a 72% norm for this competition. That gap is what makes it stand out, more than the raw percentage. Canada are a slight favourite at 44% to win, with 1.58 expected goals against 1.26.
Match result
1X2Canada43.8%
Draw26.6%
USA29.6%
Model rating
All ratings →5.9
Canada
Above average
6.2
USA
Above average
CanadaLast 10 gamesUSA1.40Points per game2.10
1.4Goals scored per game2.5
1.0Goals conceded per game1.4
40%Over 2.5 goals70%
40%Both teams scored60%
40%Clean sheets40%
20%Failed to score0%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings2
Canada
4
Draws
4
USA
- 7 Oct 26USA 1-0 Canada
- 7 Sept 24USA 1-2 Canada
- 9 Jul 23USA 2-2 Canada
- 30 Jan 22Canada 2-0 USA
- 5 Sept 21USA 1-1 Canada