Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.2 – 1.3
Over 2.5
46%
Both score
52%
The model projects 1.23 goals for Malawi and 1.29 for Angola, giving 34% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 37% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Malawi
Average
Angola
Above average
1
Malawi
0
Draws
3
Angola