Canada vs USA prediction, World Cup Qualifying CONCACAF
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
78.3%
xG
1.6 – 1.3
Over 2.5
54%
Both score
58%
Form
Full stats →
CanadaLWWLW
USAWWWWLMatch analysis
EnhancedCanada favoured at 44%, but it's a close call
The model gives Canada a 44% chance to win at home, against 30% for USA and 27% for a draw. Expected goals are 1.57 for Canada and 1.26 for USA, which keeps the goals markets near even, with over 2.5 at 54%.
Match result
1X2Canada43.8%
Draw26.7%
USA29.6%
Model rating
All ratings →5.9
Canada
Above average
6.2
USA
Above average
CanadaLast 10 gamesUSA1.40Points per game2.10
1.4Goals scored per game2.5
1.0Goals conceded per game1.4
40%Over 2.5 goals70%
40%Both teams scored60%
40%Clean sheets40%
20%Failed to score0%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings2
Canada
4
Draws
4
USA
- 7 Oct 26USA 1-0 Canada
- 7 Sept 24USA 1-2 Canada
- 9 Jul 23USA 2-2 Canada
- 30 Jan 22Canada 2-0 USA
- 5 Sept 21USA 1-1 Canada