Our pick Strong
Home Win
xG
2.3 – 0.7
Over 2.5
59%
Both score
47%
The model makes Algeria the clear favourite at 73%, against a 49% norm for home wins in this competition. Expected goals are 2.35 for Algeria and 0.72 for Somalia, and over 2.5 goals is at 59%.
Algeria
Above average
Somalia
Above average
3
Algeria
0
Draws
0
Somalia