Equatorial Guinea vs Sudan prediction, Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
74.5%
xG
1.3 – 0.9
Over 2.5
38%
Both score
44%
Form
Full stats →
Equatorial GuineaLDWWL
SudanLLWLLMatch analysis
Model generatedEquatorial Guinea favoured at 44%, in a tight game
The model projects 1.29 goals for Equatorial Guinea and 0.91 for Sudan, giving 44% for the home win, 30% for the draw and 26% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.29 - 0.91
- Clean sheet chance: Equatorial Guinea 40%, Sudan 28%
Match result
1X2Equatorial Guinea44.4%
Draw30.1%
Sudan25.5%
Model rating
All ratings →5.5
Equatorial Guinea
Above average
4.8
Sudan
Average
Equatorial GuineaLast 10 gamesSudan1.10Points per game0.50
0.7Goals scored per game0.3
1.1Goals conceded per game1.5
20%Over 2.5 goals20%
40%Both teams scored20%
30%Clean sheets20%
30%Failed to score70%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 3 meetings2
Equatorial Guinea
0
Draws
1
Sudan
- 28 Dec 25Equatorial Guinea 0-1 Sudan
- 22 Mar 19Sudan 1-4 Equatorial Guinea
- 8 Sept 18Equatorial Guinea 1-0 Sudan