Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.2 – 1.3
Over 2.5
46%
Both score
52%
The model projects 1.20 goals for Afghanistan and 1.30 for Pakistan, giving 33% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 38% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Afghanistan
Average
Pakistan
Above average
1
Afghanistan
0
Draws
3
Pakistan