Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.5 – 1.2
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
55%
The model makes Pakistan the most likely winner at 44%, with Kenya at 29% and a draw at 28%. Expected goals are 1.50 for Pakistan and 1.17 for Kenya. Pakistan's rating rests on only 3 matches, so treat the edge as modest.
Pakistan
Above average
Kenya
Above average
0
Pakistan
0
Draws
2
Kenya