Our pick Strong
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.9 – 0.8
Over 2.5
51%
Both score
49%
The model makes Switzerland the favourite, with a 62% chance of a home win against 15% for Slovenia. Expected goals are 1.89 for Switzerland and 0.83 for Slovenia. Over 2.5 goals sits at 51%, so the goals markets look close to even.
Switzerland
Above average
Slovenia
Above average
7
Switzerland
1
Draws
2
Slovenia